An extremely active hurricane season is expected in the Atlantic Basin this year, according to a new update by NOAA.
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season has been off to a rapid pace with a record-setting nine named storms so far and has the potential to be one of the busiest on record.
Historically, only two named storms form on average by early August, and the ninth named storm typically does not form until October 4.
An average season produces 12 named storms, including six hurricanes of which three become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5).
The new NOAA publication says the current hurricane season could have 19-25 named storms (above 63 km/h; 39 mph), with 7-11 of those becoming hurricanes (above 119 km/h; 74 mph).
“This is one of the most active seasonal forecasts that NOAA has produced in its 22-year history of hurricane outlooks. NOAA will continue to provide the best possible science and service to communities across the Nation for the remainder of hurricane season to ensure public readiness and safety,” said US Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross. “We encourage all Americans to do their part by getting prepared, remaining vigilant, and being ready to take action when necessary.”
Using the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which measures the combined total duration and intensity of all named storms during the season, NOAA predicts there is an 85 percent chance of a more active season than average this year.
There have been various ACE index predictions for the 2020 season, with meteorology centers releasing different values (University of Arizona forecast, NC State University), but best bets at the start of the season ranged from 110-168 and mid-season forecasts are predicting almost record-breaking numbers of named storms.
“This year, we expect more, stronger, and longer-lived storms than average, and our predicted ACE range extends well above NOAA’s threshold for an extremely active season,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
The extremely active season could be a result of warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, reduced vertical wind shear, weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds and an enhanced west African monsoon. These conditions are expected to continue for the next several months.
If you are in an area that may be affected by the coming hurricane season, check out the NOAA storm prediction center and the National Weather Service’s hurricane preparedness guidelines.
More extreme weather news on Strange Sounds and Steve Quayle.
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Take a look at the image of the hurricane and you might notice what I immediately noticed – what resembles a “Day of the Dead” image of a smiling skull showing 3/4 profile of a dead person skull smiling menacingly!
What does it mean
The third shaking of fully is in progress and great spirit is shaking down all planet with its 2 hands. Until we make peace with ourselves and respect and love each others.
THOUSANDS of cars form mile-long line at Dallas food bank as families drive across Texas for box of noodles, spaghetti sauce, peanut butter, rice, and trail mix as unemployment cripples state
Fair Park in Dallas held its fourth food drive since the pandemic was declared in March and the event on Tuesday by North Texas Food Bank fed 1,710 families
The offering included dairy, canned goods, noodles, spaghetti sauce, peanut butter, rice, trail mix and some recipe ideas
It was their first mega distribution that offered an option for several hundred walk-up clients without transportation
About 10,000 boxes were distributed as people said cuts to unemployment benefit had left them without
Dallas County, where the food bank was located, has recorded 55,787 cases of coronavirus and 794 deaths – in Texas there are 524,814 cases and 9,552 deaths – it’s the third worst affected state in the country. It is so sad indeed.
Severe storms from Louisiana to Carolinas
Video IconNew weather warnings are in effect along the Gulf Coast as well as a severe thunderstorm and tornado watch in the South.
New weather warnings are in effect along the Gulf Coast as well as a severe thunderstorm and tornado watch in the South.David J. Phillip/AP
Summer storms on Wednesday brought at least four reported tornadoes in parts of the South, including an EF-1 tornado with winds up to 110 mph in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. The National Weather Service office in New Orleans says there were several small tornadoes in the area on Wednesday and storm surveys are still ongoing.
The storms also brought flash flooding where there were reports of water covered roads. Training thunderstorms, just north and west of the Houston metro area, have already brought up 3 to 6 inches of rain Thursday morning, and some flooding is ongoing in the region.
There are still flash flood alerts for parts of southern Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi for the slow-moving thunderstorms that will continue to fire up Thursday. There will be 24 Hurricanes.