Manufactured megadrought: Lake Mead water level continues to tank at unprecedented rates

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Lake Mead is a reservoir is Nevada and Arizona, relied upon for example by the city of Las Vegas for drinking water. Last year, its water level was significantly lower than previous years. This year, it’s even lower.  This is dramatic…

If the trend does continue for the next two decades as it has been going on for the past two, it seems like things aren’t looking optimal for the Colorado river, the largest water reservoir by capacty in the US, and the Hoover Dam hydroelectric power plant.

Lake Mead water disappearance 2022
Water in Lake Mead is disappearing at an unprecedented rate in 2022… mead.uslakes.info

Lake Mead fell about 7 feet in May. I expect June will likely be close to the same. Lake Mead is now way below 1,050 ft. in elevation, at which more than half of the turbines will not be able to fully work

If water levels continue to drop, Hoover Dam would cease generating electricity when the water level falls below 950 feet (290 m) and the lake would stabilize at a level of 895 feet (273 m) when the water reaches the lowest water outlet of the dam.

Below 1,050 feet (bottom of the efficiency curve for the current turbines) more water is needed to produce an equivalent amount of electricity. Such low depths increase the rough zones for the turbines—the generating range in which vibration and cavitation threaten to damage the unit. At extremely low lake levels, like the ones Mead is fast approaching, those rough zones—which usually occur in a narrow production band at medium capacity—could expand to fill the entire generating range, making the turbines vulnerable at any speed. But this unprecedented scenario would be a mystery even to the staff of the Bureau of Reclamation, which operates the dam.

Below 950 feet it can’t generate electricity. Also, the amount of stored energy in the water is less when the water elevation is less, but don’t worry – we can always make up the difference simply by running more water through the generators. Everything is under control. Nothing to see here.

895 feet is deadpool elevation. Water will not flow past Hoover Dam. Arizona, California, and Mexico receive zero of their allocation. The entire Southwest and the US by proxy will collapse at that point.

Translated in volume, the below graph shows you everything you want to know…

Lake Mead drying out 2022
Lake Mead is drying out at unprecedented speed in 2022. Reddit

Hoover Dam’s normal capacity is 2,074 megawatts, according to an email from the USBR. As of April 2022, it was sitting at around 1,500 megawatts — a decrease of around 25 percent. A normal year for the dam would see 4.5 billion kilowatt-hours produced. Last year, production decreased by 22 percent to 3.5 billion kilowatt-hours, the USBR said.

Since the water level is below 1050ft, I am sure the electricity production will also tank this year. Maybe another half or so…

Here’s another graph showing min and max water levels that goes back to 1935. Water levels started tanking around 2000…

lake Mead annual high and low elevations 1935-2022
lake Mead annual high and low elevations 1935-2022. FreeImage

It’s going to be the end half of this year that’s the key. If the levels don’t stabilize (they actually fell at the end of last year during the season when they would normally be increasing), then you’ve got about a year left before the city of Las Vegas runs dry.

Right in time for the hottest part of the summer. Even then, unless you start getting significant recovery in the winter months, 2024 isn’t going to be any better when the dry season starts dropping levels again.

But don’t worry everything is under control… LOL…

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7 Comments

  1. If we all just ate only 1 meal every 2 days, lake mead would be just fine. People, stop eating so much.

  2. Las Vegas’ tap water is some of the most toxic in the country and you’ll likely get cancer if you drink it consistently. Hopefully no one is actually drinking that.

  3. When the left coast wakes up, they will be building desalinization plants. They don’t want to wake up yet.

  4. They are dumping it into the ocean you morons do the math no way that many acre feet of water was used wake up chattel. The soy bean farmers have been screaming about this yet no one cares. This is a engineered crisis meant to facilitate a power grab to restrict free humans from living. Sad to see some of the eaters calling it a desert drought this proves the ignorance of mindless drones following the fake narrative!!

  5. When Russians sink west coast of USA then your house worth is nothing then do not say we told you years ago get out of California now with gas 8.0 dollars mmm soon will be 10.00 as well.

  6. Live in a Desert and learn why you shouldn’t live in a Desert.
    We Hicks call that ‘Common Sense’.

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