Is this the new normal? Energy bills expected to hit £4,200 in January, according to dire new UK forecast


Dr Craig Lowrey, principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, says it is time to consider the energy cap’s place, adding: “Right now, the current price cap is not working for consumers, suppliers, or the economy.

Energy bill forecast in UK for winter 2023
Energy bill forecast in UK for winter 2023

Energy bills are expected to rise even further this winter than previously thought, according to the latest forecast from energy consultancy Cornwall Insight.

Bills are now expected to reach approximately £3,582 a year for the average household from October – up from the £3,359 predicted earlier this month. That compares to the price cap last October of £1,277.

From January, the amount is expected to hit £4,266 before continuing to rise in April to £4,427 – the previous forecast was for £3,729 in April.

Extreme poverty predicted – cost of living latest

This October’s price cap will be announced by energy regulator Ofgem on 26 August.

Cornwall insight said it had increased its forecast due to the continuing rise in wholesale prices and an expected change in how the energy price cap is calculated.

Dr Craig Lowrey, principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, described the increase of more than £650 in the January prediction as a “fresh shock”.

The cost of living crisis was already top of the news agenda as more and more people face fuel poverty, this will only compound the concerns.

He said the change in how the price cap is calculated was necessary to prevent suppliers going bust, but added: “Rather than critiquing the methodology of the cap, it may be time to consider the cap’s place altogether.

After all, if it is not controlling consumer prices, and is damaging suppliers’ business models, we must wonder if it is fit for purpose – especially in these times of unprecedented energy market conditions.

It is essential that the government use our predictions to spur on a review of the support package being offered to consumers.

If the £400 was not enough to make a dent in the impact of our previous forecast, it most certainly is not enough now.

He added: “Right now, the current price cap is not working for consumers, suppliers, or the economy.

Justina Miltienyte, head of policy at, said: “Every week brings more bad news about how high the price cap is likely to soar, and these latest suggestions must stir the government to act now before it’s too late.

The energy bill support needs to be urgently reviewed.

The new predictions will leave a lot of people worried about how they are going to afford their bills this winter and beyond, based on the sky-high predictions through to next October. Households desperately need to know that sufficient financial support will be provided.

If you are behind on your bill payments, or your energy account is going into debt, speak to your provider as soon as possible.

They should be able to help you find a solution, such as working out a more affordable payment plan. You may also find you are eligible for additional support such as hardship funds and other energy help schemes.

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Is this a crisis or an emergency? I think it’s just the new normal. Having gotten away with charging those kinds of rates, energy companies will do everything in their considerable power to keep prices there. What’s absolutely not going to be allowed to happen is for prices to return back to an average cap around £1100/year by the following winter. That’s for sure… [Sky News] has been banned from ad networks and is now entirely reader-supported CLICK HERE TO SUPPORT MY WORK… I will send you a small gemstone if you give more than 25$… Thanks in advance!

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