Get ready for more powerful solar storms, radio blackouts, earthquakes and eruptions! Solar Cycle 25 is exceeding predictions and sunspot numbers in May 2022 were the highest in almost 8 years

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Solar Cycle 25 is exceeding predictions. Sunspot numbers in May 2022 were the highest in almost 8 years, more than doubling NOAA’s official forecast:

Sunspot numbers including predictions

The plot, above, compares current sunspot numbers to a selection of benchmarks. The blue curve is the “official forecast” issued by NOAA’s Solar Cycle Prediction Panel in 2019.

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Sunspot numbers including all predictions

At the time, panel members anticipated a cycle similar to weak Solar Cycle 24. Zooming in shows how much the sun is overshooting that target.

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Interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) rate observed by spacecraft in situ in the solar wind

 

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There is no longer any doubt that Solar Cycle 25 is on track to outperform its predecessor, historically weak Solar Cycle 24, which peaked in 2014.

Prediction of the ICME rate for solar cycle 25

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The green curve is the average of all solar cycles since 1750, and the slightly taller red curve is a new prediction based on the Termination Event. Current sunspot counts match both.

CME rate observed by the STEREO heliospheric imagers

Even if Solar Cycle 25 turns out to be merely average, it will still far exceed previously low expectations.

Now get prepared for more earthquakes, volcanic eruptions natural EMPs and (radio) power outages… Because enhanced solar activity increases the risk of all the natural disasters listed above… [SpaceWeather, Helioforecast]

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Here some things to add to your disaster & preparedness kit:

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